Kalshi and Polymarket have handled $2 billion in U.S. election-based trades since the start of the year. Prediction market trading on elections goes back to the 1800s.

See more of our trusted coverage when you search. Prefer Newsweek on Google to see more of our trusted coverage when you search. That marks a sharp shift in trader sentiment over recent months, with ...

The 2028 US election already trades heavily, with Dexsport's Republican nomination market above $60 million. How nominee and winner markets differ and fit together.

According to the survey, Harris has a 30 per cent support, while Vance has a 38 per cent support from the Republicans. From ...

California Governor Gavin Newsom’s chances of securing the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028 have plunged to an all-time low, according to recent prediction market data. Despite his ongoing ...

AI has predicted who will emerge victorious in the 2028 US election, following a new survey that revealed the early ...

JD Vance is moving back toward the halfway mark in the 2028 Republican presidential nominee market. Kalshi lists Vance at 45%, comfortably ahead of Marco Rubio at 21%, while Ron DeSantis trails at 4.4 ...

See more of our trusted coverage when you search. Prefer Newsweek on Google to see more of our trusted coverage when you search. The 2028 presidential field could begin coming into view in the months ...

2028 US Presidential Election odds show a strange split on Kalshi: Democrats lead the party market, but Republican candidates dominate the individual board as traders price a fractured Democratic ...

The significant boom of prediction markets is pushing U.S. elections into uncharted territory, prompting concern and scrutiny about the risks and regulation of betting on political outcomes. But the ...

Maryland's elections chief says election bets on Kalshi and Polymarket may break state law. States and the CFTC are fighting over who decides.